2019 Windermere Everett’s Economic Update Event. By Jen Hudson

What did you miss?  Here are the highlights from March 7, 2019.

What was this “Kick Off Event” again?

Kickoff Event on March 7, 2019 at the Everett Golf & Country Club. Photo by Jen Hudson.

Every year, we work with our Windermere office to put together an informational and fun evening filled with quality speakers, a few appetizers, and a lot of really good people at the Everett Golf and Country Club.

Sounds good.  Who was there?

In addition to the roughly 150 valued clients and colleagues, we had a great line-up of presentations with Gary Cohn, the Superintendent for Everett Public Schools; Cassie Franklin, City of Everett Mayor; and Matthew Gardner, Windermere’s Chief Economist and one of the few economists who can brings a sense of humor to statistics.

Interesting.  Who was the opening act?

Gary Cohn kicked off the evening with a focus on kids.  He discussed some basic facts and figures to start.  Did you know that there are approximately 20,500 students in Everett public schools, with a projected growth of over 9% or another 1,858 students by 2026?  He addressed the income disparity in some of our local communities, emphasized how poverty is the single biggest factor that affects children, and noted that unfortunately almost 40% of our students are impacted.

Despite some initially startling numbers, there were many good points.  First, graduation rates.  The 4-year graduation rate from Everett schools is currently at 95.7% (oh yeah!), up from 81.7% in just 2009!  And, he talked at length about how after you adjust for poverty, Everett schools test above the trend line on everything from test scores to life preparedness.

Those numbers are surprisingly good, but where are all those extra students going to go?

The new Tambark Creek Elementary School, on track to open this year in fall 2019.  Currently, there are 17 Elementary Schools, 5 Middle Schools, and 4 High Schools.  The addition of Tambark Creek brings the district to a total of 27 schools over 39 square miles.

How do we prepare our kids to become future leaders?

Career Pathways.  In 2013, Everett Schools became a K-12 STEM District.  Rather than limiting curriculum to the typical Science Technology Engineering and Math, they took it a step further.  After completing basic high school requirements, students have the opportunity to enter a career pathway and gain the academic, technical, and workplace knowledge and skills.  This will allow them to transfer seamlessly into their next level of schooling, pursue graduate programs, or transition to the workforce.

What about Everett? 

After 14 years, the city of Everett welcomed their new Mayor Cassie Franklin in 2018, who is also the first woman elected to the office.  This change allowed the city to rethink some of their old practices and take a fresh look at how they spend and invest resources and how to partner with more community organizations and the public for support and feedback.  Over the past 12 months, the results have spoken for themselves.  The city’s budget is not only balanced for 2019, but also achieved $5.6mil in ongoing savings through technology investments, changes to programs, and staff reductions.

What are the top issues for the city moving forward?

Quality of life.  Mayor Franklin wants to see Everett as a place that is walkable, livable, and safe.  This past year was a focus on youth gang and gun violence with prevention and intervention programs, the city’s first ever Gang Response Unit, and a firearm safety campaign which all contributed to a 40% reduction in gang-related offenses.

Another area of public focus is homelessness and addiction.  Recently, Everett has partnered with Cocoon House, HopeWorks, and the Safe Streets Housing and by 2020 will have completed 170 new supportive housing units in three new projects.  They have introduced Treatment Without Delay to help combat the opioid crisis.  And, the partnership with Bridgeways is allowing individuals to connect with new employment opportunities.  While Everett’s challenges mirror many other communities, they are ahead of the curve when it comes to seeing results and finding solutions through their unique partnership programs and approaches.

Everett’s Mayor Cassie Franklin

Economic Vitality.  Mayor Franklin has a vision that people who work in Everett also have the opportunity to live in Everett, that businesses of all sizes feel connected and supported to the City government, and that Everett is a leader in regional economic development.

Everett is, of course, proud to be home to the world’s aerospace leader, Boeing, who recently achieved a new record of 806 planes delivered in 2018.  Aerospace and Manufacturing wouldn’t happen without a close connection to the Port of Everett.  The Port has had one of their busiest years as well, with plans for the biggest capital project in the Port’s history and the largest maritime construction project on the West Coast today:  The South Terminal Modernization project.

Waterfront – West Side.  Construction has begun on 266 new housing units at the Port’s Waterfront Place with a planned grand opening in 2020.  With 86% of the units already spoken for, there is a lot of excitement at the Waterfront.  Hotel Indigo is also planned to open this summer, which should double the capacity of lodging on the Waterfront.

Waterfront talk isn’t complete without mentioning Naval Station Everett.  While 2018 saw some changes, Everett has been a Navy town since 1994 and shall remain a key partner with the City moving forward.

Riverfront – East Side.  Polygon has sold nearly 320 single family homes and townhomes, with over 1,000 more in works.  The Riverfront construction is poised to take off soon for development on a new commercial center later this year that includes plans for a movie theater, grocery store, retail and restaurants.

In addition to these major projects, the Port’s Riverside Business Park is also under construction, which should bring approximately 800 new jobs to Everett that will be alongside the existing Northwest Aerospace Technologies and newer FedEx Freight facility.

Another important industry in our area is health care.  In Everett, Providence Regional Medical Center is one of our largest employers and continues to expand in the region.  Other industry leaders, such as the Everett Clinic, Kaiser Permanente and Seattle Children’s Hospital have been opening new clinics and bringing in additional jobs as well.

The vitality of Everett comes from both businesses and residents.  In the downtown sectors, we are seeing our businesses stay for longer periods of time, expand to new locations, and attract new business partners.  One of those newer additions is Funko, who have added 175 new jobs over the past 2 years.  Imagine Children’s Museum is an amazing asset to the community with major expansion plans this year as well.  The Angel of the Winds Arena saw ticket sales increase in 2018 with an incredible and diverse line-up for 2019 including the Seattle Storm, the Backstreet Boys, and more.  And, there are many new additions to our restaurant scene and downtown retailers.

Courtesy www.PortofEverett.com

Transportation and Mobility.  Economic development needs a strong transportation network.

We are fortunate to have Sound Transit, Community Transit, and Everett Transit all serving our community.  This year, the city will begin planning for 2 light rail stations for southwest Everett.  They will also begin replacement of the westbound US 2 trestle to address the current choke points with the State.  It’s estimated that by 2022, Everett will have a total of 18 electric buses on the road that will save an estimated 10,000 gallons of diesel each year.

Downtown Rucker is in the process of becoming a more pedestrian friendly corridor, along with a current parking study that may help relieve some of the challenges, as well as a pedestrian bridge connecting Everett Community College to the Washington State University (WSU) Everett campus.  2019 will see improved bus stops on Broadway, and new amenities such as shelters, benches, and bike racks.  On the other side, Grand Avenue Park Bridge will open in 2020 bringing a new connection to the waterfront.

After seeing great results from the Business Improvement Area (BIA) around the downtown corridor, there will be a new BIA around Everett Station.  There is substantial potential growth here and an understanding that the Metro area will continue to be the hub for and attract further development and future growth.

Commercial Air.  One of the biggest topics locally has been Paine Field.  Commercial air is a game-changer for Everett.  With a lodge-like design, 18 flights daily through Alaska Airlines, and additional flights from United Airlines beginning March 31, 2019, Paine Field has put Everett on a whole new map!

This year in 2019, Everett will continue to build their alliances with Snohomish County, Tulalip Tribes, and the Port, as well as all the other major sectors and businesses of all sizes in the area.

Courtesy Everett Public Schools

Education and Workforce Development.  In addition to the notes from Superintendent Gary Cohn, the local school districts have encouraged students to take dual-credit classes, earning both high school and college credits, and have seen an impressive increase of 876 percent more enrollments!

The Mukilteo School District includes Sno-Isle TECH, and gives students the opportunity to earn high school credits while gaining hands-on experience.  Everett Career Link is a summer internship program that provides real-world experience for high school students at businesses in their own backyard!  These programs see participation from a variety of businesses, including Providence and Kaiser Permanente as some of the most recent to enroll.

Aviation Maintenance Technician School at Everett Community College has opened for evening and afternoon classes to help meet the increasing demand for skilled technicians.  The Lab @ Everett opened last fall and has wide spread support from businesses and education communities, including power players like Amazon and Microsoft.

Wow.  That’s a lot of information on Everett.  What’s the take away?

Everett and our surrounding community will look very different in just a few years, and for many good reasons.  We have already seen advancements with increased activity, investment, and improvements to infrastructure.  Combine these advancements with nearly 300 acres of parks and green spaces to explore and a beautiful natural setting featuring both the Waterfront along the west side and the Riverfront along the east side, and you’ve got a winning combination for many years to come.

We believe you should be informed before you make decisions about your future.  After all, Everett is just one city and we didn’t even get to the economics part of the story yet.  There are still casino & mall expansions, improved roadways, new highways, and a whole new manufacturing industrial center in works, just to name a few projects in works in Snohomish County.  Stay tuned as we update you on progress.

For more information about the developments in the area or to see how your real estate is positioned with these opportunities, reach out to us at (206) 466-4020 or info@HudsonCREG.com.  You’ll be glad you did.

Jen Hudson & Duane Petzoldt

Left-to-Right: Daniel Volkert with Real Property Management, Duane Petzoldt with Windermere RE/M2, Greg Love with Windermere RE/M2, Chris Bodin with Guild Mortgage, Kevin Black with Anderson & Black Insurance

Water Rights. A Pretty Dry Topic. by Jennifer Hudson

In case you missed it, Washington State had an emergency for the last two years… and it was over who got to make decisions about water.

What am I talking about?

Let’s go back to the beginning.

At first glance, water rights or water claims don’t seem like they should be that complicated.  It’s just water.  We have lots of water.

But, then you start to think about it for a moment… and immediately confusion sets in.

aquifer2

I’ll try to simplify.

In Washington State, we have the Department of Ecology.  Call them the DOE, since it looks cool.  The DOE are the “big dogs” when it comes to all things water.

While I can’t explain how they reach their conclusions, the DOE looks at where water flows, how much we have, what it is used for, and so on.

Now… my overly simplified version of water rights or water claims.

The Department of Ecology says that water rights belong to the state and that an individual or group can be granted “rights” to use a certain amount of water, for a specific purpose, and in a specific place.

They care a lot about both fish and people.  So, what does the DOE look at?

Imagine that it rains in your front yard.  The DOE might be able to tell you not only where those rain drops go after they soak into the ground, but also how long it takes those drops to get there.  Does it take 1 month for the drops to make it to the pond, and then a year to make it to a stream, and then 20 years to make it to the ocean?  Maybe.

groundwater

Does the DOE put little individual trackers on rain drops to see exactly where they scatter too? Probably not.

However, the DOE is likely the most reliable source for predicting exactly where water goes over time than anyone else in the State.  So, they get a lot of points for that.

If you wanted to build a house, or a shopping center, or a ranch, or even a farm, it is likely that the DOE is involved.  After all, they get to determine if there is enough water to feed your family or your herd of cattle or even to water your tomatoes.

Who actually uses water from the ground?

I hope you paused just for a moment with that question.  Everyone does.  Let’s not get off topic.  Not everyone know how water gets to your faucet.

How are water rights decided?

There are over 230,000 active water right certificates, permits, applications, and claims that the DOE manages to make sure the state can meet all the water supply needs.

With so many people needing water, and no actual guarantee there will be enough, the DOE uses a system called “the doctrine of prior appropriation.”  This is fancy talk for “first in time, first in right.”  Essentially, if there is a water shortage, then the senior water rights get their water first and the junior (meaning younger) rights can be slowed or taken away.

What does it take to issue a water right permit?

They have a four-part test, to make it simple.

  1. Water must be both physically and legally available. Not only does there need to be actual water there, but there needs to be enough water after everyone else ahead of you in line has a drink from the faucet.
  2. Water must be used beneficially… no wasting please.
  3. Water use must be in the public’s interest. For example, in the Gremlins movie, spilling water on Gizmo is a bad idea because it spawns Gremlins which are evil little monsters who are not in the public’s best interest.  You probably don’t get a water right permit for Gremlins.
  4. Water use must not impair another existing use. No stealing.  Pretty simple.

Wait.  There’s a catch.  The continuous use rule.

Even if you are the oldest water right at the very beginning of the line, if you stop using your water for 5 consecutive years, then you lose your spot in line and the state takes their rights back.

How does the state know whether or not you are using water?

That part is easier than you think.

In many parts of Eastern Washington, think of things like satellite images or even google streets.  If your property is the only brown one surrounded by a sea of green, then odds are you aren’t watering your plants.  The same is true in the reverse.  If you are the only green field among a bunch of brown ones, then you are probably using water when you shouldn’t.  Neighbors and local departments tend to watch these things.

Now for the Definitions.

There are a few terms you hear around water rights.  A water right permit is just that.  It is a permit to develop a water right.

  • Permit – A Water Right Permit is an authorization to use a specific amount of water in a specific place, during a certain season, and with a specific purpose. Whew!
  • Certificate – A Water Certificate documents a “perfected” water right put to it’s full use and recorded in appropriate county on the deed for that property.
  • Adjudicated Certificate – A Certificate that has not only been in use and recorded, but also validated by a local superior court… which means someone questioned it earlier. Adjudication is a special court process that determines if something is legally valid.  So, adjudicated certificates are pretty solid.
  • Claim – A water claim is an old water right that so old it came before the current water permitting system (prior to 1917 for surface water and prior to 1945 for ground water). If anyone questions these claims, then the only way they can be confirmed is through adjudication.
  • Trust Water Right – This is the safety button so you don’t lose your place in line. If you know that you will not use your water rights for a while, but you don’t want them to be taken away, you can place your water right into the Trust Water Rights Program to protect it from relinquishment due to non-use.

While all these names are all different, they provide similar benefits… such as access to water.

This leads us to the simple question.

Do you need a water right?  I’m glad you asked.

As with most things real estate… it depends.

It is important to realize there is a difference in the rules between water that is above ground and water that is below.

Surface water is the water above ground.  Think water from streams, rivers, lakes, springs.  If you ever want to use surface water in any way at all… you will need a water right to do so.

Ground water is a little different.  Think drilling wells, tapping into aquafers, joining a community water system, or even a public utility district.  If we are talking about using ground water, there are some exemptions that let you just use the water when you needed it from below the surface.

Side bar: We were told for many years that surface water and ground water are different… but if all the water from the surface (rainfall to steams to rivers, etc) eventually runs below the ground to the aquifers… then why are there different rules?  I don’t have the answer.  Just a lot of questions. 

Those exemptions are:

  • A single user or group of domestic uses that use less than 5,000 gallons per day;
  • Industrial uses of less than 5,000 gallons per day;
  • Irrigation and non-commercial uses of less than one-half acre of lawn or garden; or
  • Stock water… for things like cows.

As a point of reference, most households use around 200 gallons per day.  Some mature trees use more than that.  Some use far less.

wells work

Previously, we had a system for who got to use water.  Let’s just sum up the issue of who decides whether you can use water varies depending on the location you are in.  The DOE had rules relating to seniority of water rights, watershed plans, growth areas, etc.  The goal is protect water quality, availability, and all things that surround it.

If you were joining a community system or municipality, you would get a water availability letter showing they had enough water to share with you.  If you needed to drill your own well and were not exempt from above, then it got a little trickier.

In theory, if you had an old water right and wanted to move it to a new location… as long as you were pulling water from the same source, it was ok to transfer.

What happened in 2016?

Whatcom County got in a fight with Eric Hirst over water.  In the initial court case, the decision ended up turning everything we used to know about water on its head.  This single decision (turning that time from 2016-2018) had completely changed how counties approved or denied building permits for homes that we thought were permit-exempt wells for a water source.

So what happened next?

Essentially, the local counties had to become experts in all things water… overnight and without warning.  No offense to most counties and cities out there, but they never had to be the water expert before… so how do you think it went when they now had to make decisions?

It went how you would imagine.

 

Some cities and counties said “no more building permits for you”.  Some of them said “we will give you this building permit, but you can’t have any water.”  Some of them said “you can build whatever you want, but you don’t get your building permit until you promise not to sue us if we’re wrong.”  To be blunt, it was a mess.  There was no clarity.  Land values where water was questionable sunk overnight.  Land values where water was clearly available went up and saw bidding wars.  In certain areas, people began purchasing land just for the water rights.

It was a continuous legal fight since 2016 and finally this ruling was overturned through a new law.   Engrossed Substitute Senate Bill 6091 was passed on January 18, 2018 and was immediately signed into law the next day by WA Governor, Jay Inslee.  This new law helps protect water resources while providing water for families in rural Washington.

What does this new law do?  It’s not perfect, but it’s a really good start.

  • The law focuses on 15 watersheds that were impacted most by the Hirst decision and establishes standards for residential permit-exempt wells. Now, the cities and counties can go back to some of the old rules and no longer be burdened with having to be an expert in an area they aren’t familiar with.
  • The law divides the 15 basins into those that have previously adopted a watershed plan and those that did not. This adds clarity for how decisions are made.
  • The law allows counties to rely on our instream flow rules in preparing comprehensive plans and development for water availability. That’s great, because the local jurisdictions just didn’t have the hours in to become the water experts on their own.
  • It allows rural residents to have access to water from permit-exempt wells to build a home. All those people in the country just got to live in their homes again or finish building, which is great.
  • Retains the current maximum limit of 5,000 gallons per day for permit-exempt domestic water use in watersheds that do not have existing instream flow rules.
  • It lays out interim standards that will apply until local committees develop plans that are adopted:
    • Allows a maximum of 950 or up to 3,000 gallons per day for domestic use, depending on the watershed they are in.
    • Establishes a one-time $500 fee for landowners building a home using a permit-exempt well in certain affected areas.
  • Invests $300 million over 15 years in projects that will help fish and stream flows (aka new jobs).

(Learn More: https://ecology.wa.gov/Water-Shorelines/Water-Supply/Water-Rights/Case-Law/Hirst-Decision)

So, after all this… will the local counties or cities change their tune and start issuing building permits again?  Eventually, I think they will.  Since this is brand new law, it will take a little time for the counties to evaluate how it impacts their decisions and development codes.  However, with such an important topic, I believe that most counties are trying to respond as quickly as they can and issue building permits accordingly.

What impact does this have on old wells?

Not much.  The law went into effect on January 19, 2018.  All wells that were constructed prior to this date were subject to old rules which meant they had to show evidence of adequate water supply.  All wells after this date are subject to the new law and new exemptions.

essb6091-dpew-map_Page_1

Which watersheds had previously adopted plans and is now subject to the 3,000 gallons per day with drawl?  The Nooksack, Nisqually, Lower Chehalis, Upper Chehalis, Okanogan, Little Spokane, and Colville.

Which watersheds do not have a previously adopted plan and are now subject to a maximum withdrawal of 950 gallons per day?  The Snohomish, Cedar-Sammamish, Duwamish-Green, Puyallup-White, Chambers-Clover, Deschutes, Kennedy-Goldsborogh, and Kitsap.  These eight watersheds are also subject to curtailment during droughts reducing their use to 350 galloons per day for indoor use only.

Why all this talk about water?

First.  We all need water and we probably take it for granted.  Did you know that in just 2 years, Washington State has dropped from the 3rd best drinking water in the country to the 39th on the list! (source: Washington State Economic Climate Study 2017) If you have not seen the news, the South African city of Cape Town is likely to be the first major city in the world to run out of water.  In my opinion, running out of physical water and running out of clean water… kind of the same thing.

Second.  We all know someone who has land in a more rural area.  There are a number of properties throughout Washington in some of our more rural locations who saw land values sink almost overnight if they didn’t have legally available water in use.   That may have just changed.  Give me a call to find out what it means.

Want to talk about your land value or how this may impact you?

(206) 293-1005 or jen@hudsoncreg.com any day except Sunday

Market Intelligence Matters.

 

Re/Max sets IPO price at bullish $22 per share

Real estate heavyweight Re/Max Holdings Inc. set its initial public offering at $22 per share — above a previously announced expected range of $19 to $21 — indicating that the franchisor expects investors will demonstrate their optimism for the U.S. housing recovery when shares begin trading tomorrow on the New York Stock Exchange.

After expenses, Re/Max, which will trade under the ticker “RMAX,” expects to raise at least a net of $195.8 million, which it will use to buy out a large shareholder and reacquire two franchise regions in the U.S.

The 40-year-old company founded by David and Gail Liniger in Denver in 1973 now boasts 90,000 agents in 6,300 offices in more than 90 countries affiliated with the brand. Continue reading “Re/Max sets IPO price at bullish $22 per share”